Global Stock Markets Point to Further Gains Ahead...
by Jes Black
November 15/04
The bullish resolution we were looking for in stocks last week came to pass with the S&P 500 rising above the March 2002 peak to a high of 1184. Our target level of 1245 is likely to be reached by the end of this year, but we now anticipate a large correction ahead of the next up leg.
Subscribers got a free peak into our newly launched service ETF Global Research where we cover fifteen foreign stock markets and their exchange rates to help US investors better understand these markets. Non members can also access our first report for free at http://www.fxmoneytrends.com/ETFproducts.htm
Interestingly, nearly every market we examined from the local exchange
to the US based ETF showed a price target about 10% higher than current
levels. Moreover, looking at the relative strength between the Nasdaq
and the Dow it appears that the Nasdaq will outperform the Dow and rally
back to its 2001 and 2002 double top at 0.21. The relative strength between
high yield funds and the 10-year note also shows that the ratio is headed
higher in the months ahead, which should mean that economic prospects
remain favorable at least until the end of this year.
In addition, if the Nasdaq is set to outperform then one of our favorite
long positions in Taiwan iShares EWT should rally in kind as shares like
Taiwan semiconductors and United Microelectronics make up a combined 18%
of the fund. As subscribers to our first issue of ETF Global Research
Weekly know, we expect Taiwan to move substantially higher over the coming
months.
Jes Black
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Jes Black, hedge fund manager at Black Flag Capital Partners, specializes in foreign exchange and global macro trends. Prior to organizing the fund he helped MG Financial Group launch Forexnews.com. Afterwards he went on to found FX Money Trends, a research firm catering to professional traders.
Mr. Black holds a degree in economics from the University of Kansas and
an MBA from the ESC in France. His market commentary is often featured
in the Wall Street Journal, Financial Times and Reuters. He has also written
numerous strategy pieces for Futures magazine. To find out more about
the fund’s research letter visit www.fxmoneytrends.com. Qualified
prospective investors can find out more about Black Flag Capital Partners
by e-mailing info@blackflagfund.com
Jes Black
FX Money Trends, LLC
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Hoboken, NJ 07030
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